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2024 MLB Draft Lottery Odds & How To Watch

Matt Borelli
4 Min Read

The 2024 MLB Draft Lottery will take place on Tuesday at 2:30 p.m. PT during the Winter Meetings in Nashville, Tennessee. The event will be broadcast live on MLB Network and simulcast on MLB.com as well.

The first six picks of the 2024 MLB Draft will be awarded to teams via the lottery. All clubs that did not qualify for the postseason this year and still have a first-round pick are eligible for the 2024 MLB Draft lottery.

The Oakland Athletics (50-112), Kansas City Royals (56-116) and Colorado Rockies (59-103) finished with the three worst records in baseball and each have an 18.3% chance to receive the top overall selection in the 2024 MLB Draft.

The Chicago White Sox (14.7%) are the only other team with double-digit odds of winning the lottery.

The remaining teams eligible for the 2024 MLB Draft Lottery are the St. Louis Cardinals (8.3%), Los Angeles Angels (6.1%), New York Mets (4.3%), Pittsburgh Pirates (3.0%), Cleveland Guardians (2.0%), Detroit Tigers (1.6%), Boston Red Sox (1.2%), San Francisco Giants (1.0%), Cincinnati Reds (0.9%), San Diego Padres (0.7%), New York Yankees (0.6%), Chicago Cubs (0.4%) and Seattle Mariners (0.2%).

The Washington Nationals finished with the fifth-worst record in baseball this year but are ineligible for the lottery because they did not receive revenue sharing dollars. Such teams are not allowed to be selected in consecutive lotteries.

The Nationals were awarded the No. 2 overall pick in the 2023 MLB Draft and selected outfielder Dylan Crews out of LSU.

The MLB Draft Lottery was introduced last year as part of the new collective bargaining agreement (CBA), and the Pittsburgh Pirates secured the No. 1 overall pick after being one of three teams with the best odds.

The Pirates selected pitcher Paul Skenes out of LSU.

MLB Draft lottery odds and set order

Top pick odds:

18.3% – Oakland Athletics (.309)
18.3% – Kansas City Royals (.346)
18.3% – Colorado Rockies (.364)
14.7% – Chicago White Sox (.377)
8.3% – St. Louis Cardinals (.438)
6.1% – Los Angeles Angels (.451)
4.3% – New York Mets (.463)
3% – Pittsburgh Pirates (.469)
2% – Cleveland Guardians (.469)
1.6% – Detroit Tigers (.481)
1.2% – Boston Red Sox (.481)
1% – San Francisco Giants (.488)
0.9% – Cincinnati Reds (.506)
0.7% – San Diego Padres (.506)
0.6% – New York Yankees (.506)
0.4% – Chicago Cubs (.512)
0.2% – Seattle Mariners (.543)
0% – Washington Nationals (.438 – ineligible)

Set order:

19. Miami Marlins (.519)
20. Milwaukee Brewers (.568)
21. Tampa Bay Rays (.611)
22. Toronto Blue Jays (.549)
23. Minnesota Twins (.537)
24. Baltimore Orioles (.623)
25. Los Angeles Dodgers (.617)
26. Atlanta Braves (.642)
27. Philadelphia Phillies (.556)
28. Houston Astros (.556)
29. Arizona Diamondbacks (.519)
30. Texas Rangers (.556)
31. D-backs (Corbin Carroll winning Rookie of the Year)
32. Orioles (Gunnar Henderson winning Rookie of the Year)
33. Twins (Compensation for Sonny Gray)

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Matt Borelli covers the Los Angeles Dodgers as a staff writer for Dodger Blue and holds similar responsibilities for Lakers Nation, a sister site with an emphasis on the Los Angeles Lakers. He also contributes to RamsNewswire.com and RaidersNewswire.com. An avid fantasy sports player, Matt is a former 2014 MLB Beat the Streak co-champion. His favorite Dodgers moment, among a list of many, is Clayton Kershaw's no-hitter against the Colorado Rockies in 2014. Follow him on Twitter: @mcborelli.