Once the playoffs were down to four remaining teams, the Los Angeles Dodgers held the highest probability to win and reach the 2017 World Series, per FiveThirtyEight, at 60 percent and 27 percent, respectively.
Each clip was the highest when compared to that of the Houston Astros, New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs. The percentages fluctuated with each playoff contest, and heading into Game 3 of the National League Championship Series, the Dodgers again top each probability.
With their 2-0 lead in the NLCS, the analytical model has given the Dodgers an 84 percent chance of making the World Series, and 44 percent likelihood of winning their first title since 1988.
The Astros, who enter Tuesday’s Game 4 of the ALCS with a 2-1 lead, have a probability to reach the Fall Classic of 70 percent, and 34 percent to be crowned champions.
The Yankees currently hold a 30 percent probability of playing in the World Series, and are given a 15 percent chance of winning it. The Cubs rank last in both categories at 16 and seven percent, respectively.
The defending champions are looking to follow in the Yankees’ footsteps of winning a Game 3 at home to climb back into the series.
The position is a familiar one for Chicago, as they trailed the Dodgers after three games in the NLCS and went down 3-1 to the Cleveland Indians in the World Series.
